CPI

2024 - 2 - 13

Understanding the Recent CPI Reports and Market Impact

A comprehensive look at the recent CPI reports, market reactions, and implications for the future.

The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports have sparked concerns among market bulls, with inflation rates showing unexpected increases in various sectors such as shelter and healthcare. Despite the alarming numbers, some experts urge for calm, emphasizing the need to consider the context and long-term trends.

The CPI data has led to speculation about the Federal Reserve's stance on easing, with mixed opinions on the possibility of rate cuts. While some anticipate a cut, others believe that high core inflation rates may impact such decisions. The market response to the CPI reveals fluctuations in the value of the USD, energies, and financial instruments.

In January, prices surged beyond expectations, indicating a persistent inflation trend that challenges predictions. The S&P 500 index experienced a jolt following the CPI release, with uncertainties surrounding potential rate cuts by the Fed. Traders are adjusting their expectations as they analyze the data for insights into future monetary policies.

Key takeaways from the CPI report include the likelihood of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with projections shifting for different months. The high core inflation rates in the US raise doubts about a potential rate cut in May, leading to a reevaluation of market expectations and strategies.

Interesting Fact: The CPI reports have drawn attention to the Federal Reserve's role in managing inflation and its impact on financial markets. Additionally, discussions around the significance of core inflation rates have sparked debates on future monetary policies and their implications for investors and consumers.

Fascinating Fact: The S&P 500's reaction to the CPI data highlights the market's sensitivity to economic indicators, signaling the importance of data analysis in guiding investment decisions and market predictions.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Here's the most troubling part for market bulls in the CPI report (CNBC)

Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Market Data ...

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Image courtesy of "Financial Times"

Everyone calm down about CPI (Financial Times)

Line chart of Core consumer price index, annualised % showing Inflation bounce? But it's just one month. In context, the numbers look less scary. Consider:.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Sticky Jan US CPI inflation supports Fed reticence on easing (Reuters)

U.S. consumer prices increased more than expected in January amid rises in the costs of shelter and healthcare, but the pick-up in inflation likely does not ...

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Image courtesy of "FXStreet"

CPI gives markets CPR (FXStreet)

USD: Mar '24 is Down at 104.780. Energies: Mar '24 Crude is Down at 77.50 Financials: The Mar '24 30 Year T-Bond is Up 11 ticks and trading at 118.10.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Prices rose more than expected in January as inflation won't go away (CNBC)

The consumer price index was expected to show a 0.2% increase in January, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.

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Image courtesy of "Investor's Business Daily"

CPI Inflation Data Jolts The S&P 500, Fed Rate-Cut Odds (Investor's Business Daily)

The consumer price index for January came in hot, with the core CPI inflation rate unexpectedly holding at 3.9%. S&P 500 futures slid.

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Image courtesy of "The Australian Financial Review"

US CPI: Parsing US CPI data: May rate cut odds drop (The Australian Financial Review)

The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve has fallen in both March and May fall, and risen in June as traders temper their expectations.

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

US Core Inflation Stays High, Putting May Rate Cut in Doubt (Bloomberg)

Thanks for joining us. Here are five key takeaways from the US consumer price index report for January, released Tuesday:.

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