Sharp fluctuations of major currencies inject new uncertainty into fraught global economic outlook.
“Of course, central banks in other jurisdictions such as the UK have also been raising interest rates, and the eurozone is planning to do likewise. Europe is on the verge of a recession and the UK’s new government has stirred crisis talk with its fiscal stimulus adding to its current account deficit.” Higher energy prices will in turn push up the cost of other goods and services. Japan is the only G10 country not to raise interest rates. The issue with aggressively large interest rate hikes is that it’s likely to push the economy into a recession, which no one wants to see.” “These countries will either have to tax their economies more, issue inflationary local money or simply borrow more. “The US allies are also having serious struggles. “So with the war in Ukraine, economic and political problems in Europe, high inflation, etc, it is not surprising investors are turning to the US dollar.” “The US dollar has always been seen as a safe haven for investors because the US is such a strong and large economy, so if there is global uncertainty, it’s always a safe bet to hold US dollars because it retains value well,” Tien said. The first is confidence in the US economy relative to its peers. “The new prime minister’s economic policy of lowering taxes on the wealthy is not too popular, and the consensus is that it will not work in stimulating the economy.” As the British pound plummets in value, the US dollar is flying high.
The British pound weakened to a record-low level against the U.S. dollar as traders and investors continue to react negatively to new plans unveiled by the ...
MOULD: It is, to use the words of the former governor of the Bank of England, Mr. government growth plans may not be misguided, he says, just poorly timed and badly communicated since it's the reaction of humans to information that ultimately drives the behavior of markets. And if they have a mortgage they need to refinance, that's a big issue. Speaker, is to expand the supply side of the economy through tax incentives and reform. RUSS MOULD: The more confident they are, the more they'll be prepared to pay for that currency relative to another one. KWARTENG: Our aim over the medium term is to reach a trend rate of growth of 2.5%. The less confident they are, the less they'll pay. MARX: Under the government's new plans, tax revenues will fall, at least in the short term, but spending will remain the same. So the question then being asked is, are these interest rates actually going to bring about a huge recession? MARX: But that growth target is higher than most economists think the U.K. Traders appear to have taken the view that the new economic program of Liz Truss' administration is not fully thought through. The British currency, the pound, hit its lowest level in history early Monday during a series of financial market reactions to the British government's latest tax plans.
The British Pound is under siege as the Bank of England signals no action for now despite fiscal and monetary policy disparity undermining them.
[ Recommended by Daniel McCarthyHow to Trade GBP/USD](https://www.dailyfx.com/free-trading-guides#forecastschoices=HOW_TO_TRADE_GBPUSD) [USD/JPY](https://www.dailyfx.com/usd-jpy) approached 145. The loosening of fiscal policy at this stage of the cycle is also in stark contrast to other developed markets where repaying pandemic debt accumulation is a typical feature. In a statement released by BoE Governor Andrew Bailey yesterday, they hosed down speculation of a change in interest rates or FX intervention. According to the OECD, the UK is already one of the more deregulated countries in the world. The worry for markets from the announcement of these tax cuts is the ability of the UK government to fund their debt without paying away a significant risk premium.