Inflation

2022 - 9 - 13

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Stock futures rise as Wall Street awaits key inflation report (CNBC)

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 117 points, or 0.4%. S&P 500 futures were also up 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.3%. At 8:30 a.m. ET, all ...

and is one of the last pieces of data the Federal Reserve will see ahead of its September meeting. In the meantime, Ma recommends investors look for defensive stocks with low volatility, high dividends and share repurchase yields. The Office for National Statistics attributed the change to a rise in long-term sickness designations and students leaving the jobs market. "However, incoming economic data over the coming weeks and months and its influence on policy actions next year could play a much more significant role in shaping stock direction over the intermediate term." stock futures were higher Monday night as Wall Street looks ahead to the August consumer price index report set to be released Tuesday morning. A consumer price index report Tuesday that's in-line with expectations may also not move the needle." The S&P 500 rose close to 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite added about 1.3%. On a year-over-year basis, the index is expected to show an 8% increase — down slightly from the previous month. "We believe we are not there yet in either regard." stocks rose Monday](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/11/stock-futures-rise-as-wall-street-looks-ahead-to-key-inflation-data-.html), continuing a relief rally that began last week when all three major averages snapped [three-week slumps](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/08/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html). 20-21 meeting, where they're expected to deliver their third consecutive 0.75 percentage point interest rate hike to tamp down inflation. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 117 points, or 0.4%.

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Image courtesy of "The Wall Street Journal"

CPI Report Live Updates: U.S. Inflation Slowed Slightly to 8.3% in ... (The Wall Street Journal)

Follow The Wall Street Journal's full markets and consumer-price inflation report coverage.

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Image courtesy of "The Washington Post"

Rising food and housing costs pushed inflation higher in August (The Washington Post)

Consumer prices in August climbed 0.1 percent compared to the month before, despite falling costs for gas and energy. A number of economists had been ...

[beginning to feel better ](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/09/10/economy-inflation-gas-prices/?itid=lk_inline_manual_36)about the economy, and consumer sentiment, which collapsed in June, has been inching up. Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine already caused a massive run-up in energy and gas prices this year, and White House officials are [said](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/08/26/fed-powell-jackson-hole/?itid=lk_inline_manual_30) in a closely watched speech last month. Fed watchers and the financial markets increasingly expect ... But travel may actually escape a lot of what’s happening in the economy because there’s such pent-up demand.” The Fed’s goal is to use higher rates to dampen demand in the economy, especially since its tools can’t do anything to fix issues like supply chain logjams, worker shortages or the war in Ukraine. Still, the Fed has sent a clear message: it is pressing on. “We thought we’d see inflation start to come down, and instead what we’ve seen is inflation really sort of entrenched,” said Betsey Stevenson, professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan and a former member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. Costs for housing, medical care, new cars and household furnishings were all up compared to the month before. The stock market fell sharply on the news, as investors fretted that the new data would embolden Federal Reserve officials to continue raising interest rates next week in an effort to slow inflation down. The Fed and some economists prefer to focus on a measure of inflation known as “core inflation," which strips away more volatile categories like food and energy. It showed that prices were up 8.3 percent in August compared to 12 months earlier, higher than analysts expected.

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Image courtesy of "Financial Times"

US inflation rate exceeds forecast (Financial Times)

Consumer price growth keeps pressure on Federal Reserve for further big rate increase this month.

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US stocks drop after hotter than expected inflation reading (Financial Times)

The broad S&P 500 share gauge fell 2 per cent at the opening bell, while the Nasdaq Composite — which is stacked full of tech companies that are more sensitive ...

[Purchase a Print subscription for 11,12 € per week You will be billed 107,91 € per month after the trial ends](https://subs.ft.com/spa3_uk3m?segmentId=461cfe95-f454-6e0b-9f7b-0800950bef25&utm_us=JJIBAX&utm_eu=WWIBEAX&utm_ca=JJIBAZ&utm_as=FIBAZ&ft-content-uuid=96bb6e37-9116-47d9-98f3-5cee3e9c7c09) [Purchase a Digital subscription for 6,64 € per week You will be billed 39 € per month after the trial ends](https://subs.ft.com/spa3_digital?ft-content-uuid=96bb6e37-9116-47d9-98f3-5cee3e9c7c09) [Purchase a Trial subscription for 1 € for 4 weeks You will be billed 65 € per month after the trial ends](/signup?offerId=41218b9e-c8ae-c934-43ad-71b13fcb4465&ft-content-uuid=96bb6e37-9116-47d9-98f3-5cee3e9c7c09)

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Inflation rose 0.1% in August even with sharp drop in gas prices (CNBC)

The consumer price index for August was expected to decrease 0.1% from the previous month and increase 8% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones.

Within the jump in food costs, bread prices rose 2.2% on the month and are up 16.2% from a year ago. To combat the broad surge in the cost of living, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates four times this year for a total of 2.25 percentage points. The economy has broadly struggled in 2022 after posting its best year since 1984 last year, and inflation has played a major role. However, they remained down 2.8% from a year ago. Specifically, policymakers are concerned about a huge gap between job openings and available workers as labor force participation is stuck below its pre-pandemic levels. That is the most stubborn of everything the Fed is fighting at this point." Excluding volatile food and energy costs, CPI rose 0.6% from July and 6.3% from the same month in 2021. That has resulted in rising wages that have in turn put pressure on prices. "Today's CPI reading is a stark reminder of the long road we have until inflation is back down to earth," said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction for Morgan Stanley's Global Investment Office. Markets had been widely expecting the Fed to enact a 0.75 percentage point rate increase at its meeting next week. The respective year-over-year forecasts were for 8% and 6% gains. "It's very clear to them that it's food, it's transportation and it's rent.

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

CPI Inflation Low, But Offers Little Encouragement For Fed Or Markets (Forbes)

Inflation saw a 0.1% for August according to the CPI report, but this was almost entirely due to gasoline prices, other prices rose more than the Fed wanted ...

So markets believe that today’s report has made the Fed slightly more nervous about where inflation is trending. inflation may be trending in the right overall direction, but it’s not getting there fast enough for the Fed. The Fed wants to see a broad range of prices signal that the wave of inflation is past, that’s not a conclusion that’s easy to draw from this CPI report. So today’s inflation report despite the low month-on-month number is not good news for markets. Even though food costs rose 0.8% for the month, which is high, that’s still the lowest level of food price inflation that we’ve seen in many months. Still the CPI report was not entirely negative.

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Wall Street tumbles as inflation data stokes bets of large rate hikes (Reuters)

U.S. consumer prices rise more than expected in August · Traders price in a small chance of 100 bps rate hike · Indexes down: Dow 1.87%, S&P 2.30%, Nasdaq 3.07%.

The small cap Russell 2000 index [(.RUT)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.RUT) dipped 2.9%. But now, it seems like the destination is now a little bit more in question," said Brian Jacobsen, senior investment strategist, Allspring Global Investments. [(.SPXBK)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.SPXBK) dropped 2.8%. 20-21 meeting, while expecting rates to peak at around 4.28% in March 2023. [(.DJI)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.DJI) was down 848.07 points, or 2.62%, at 31,533.27, the S&P 500 [(.SPX)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.SPX) was down 122.57 points, or 2.98%, at 3,987.84, and the Nasdaq Composite [(.IXIC)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.IXIC) was down 470.90 points, or 3.84%, at 11,795.51. [(.VIX)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to 25.74 points. [(AAPL.O)](https://www.reuters.com/companies/AAPL.O), Microsoft Corp [(MSFT.O)](https://www.reuters.com/companies/MSFT.O) and Tesla Inc [(TSLA.O)](https://www.reuters.com/companies/TSLA.O) dropped 4.1% each, while Alphabet Inc [(GOOGL.O)](https://www.reuters.com/companies/GOOGL.O), Amazon.com Inc [(AMZN.O)](https://www.reuters.com/companies/AMZN.O) and Meta Platforms Inc [(META.O)](https://www.reuters.com/companies/META.O) slid between 4.8% and 7.4%. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, core CPI increased to 6.3% from 5.9% in July. [(.SPLRCL)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.SPLRCL). [The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.](https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/about-us/trust-principles.html) [(.IGX)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.IGX), which houses rate-sensitive technology and growth shares, fell 3.8% as Treasury yields rose, while its value counterpart [(.IVX)](https://www.reuters.com/quote/.IVX) lost 2.2%. [read more](/markets/us/monthly-us-consumer-prices-unexpectedly-rise-august-core-inflation-picks-up-2022-09-13/)

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

US inflation slows to 8.3% in August but prices still rising (The Guardian)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly cost of living survey, found prices were 8.3% higher last month compared with August ...

Falling gas prices were the major contributor to the overall drop. The Fed is raising rates at a pace unseen since the 1980s. “I can assure you that my colleagues and I are strongly committed to this project and we will keep at it until the job is done.” Prices overall rose slightly over the month, 0.1% higher than July. Anticipating another rise, investors sold off stocks as the news broke with the Dow Jones index dropping over 800 points (2.7%). The figure was down from an annual rate of

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Inflation Explained: The Good, the Bad and the Uncertain (The New York Times)

Amid hopeful signs that U.S. inflation was about to cool off, Tuesday's Consumer Price Index report underlined the risks that it could remain high.

The most important service category is rent-related costs, which count for nearly a third of overall inflation and which continued a steep ascent in August. And even if price increases begin to pull back, a key question is: How much will inflation slow? “The bigger question for the Fed is not: Has inflation peaked? Big increases in such service categories could be poised to continue, because their prices are closely linked to wages, which have been climbing notably as a result of a strong job market with low unemployment and worker shortages that span many fields. With war in Ukraine still stoking uncertainty about supply chains and commodity markets, central bankers may be slow to declare victory on inflation. Goods inflation might continue to ease because consumers are shifting their spending away from products they snapped up during the pandemic and back toward services, like restaurant dinners and vacations. Notably, price increases for used cars, which helped drive the pop in inflation that began last year, are beginning to pull back — falling 0.1 percent over the past month. It is typically expressed as the annual change in prices for everyday goods and services such as food, furniture, apparel, transportation and toys. That would be good news for consumers, who tend to be sensitive to transportation and grocery costs. So far, that has yet to happen — and in fact important signs point in the other direction. For Federal Reserve officials, lower gas and food prices would be a welcome, but not decisive, development. A more meaningful positive development is taking place in goods prices, some of which are showing early signs of cooling off.

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Stubbornly high rents, food prices boost U.S. inflation in August (Reuters)

U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly rose in August and underlying inflation accelerated amid rising costs for rents and healthcare, giving the Federal Reserve ...

Rents are sticky and account for a significant share of the CPI basket, meaning that inflation will remain elevated for some time. The Fed has twice hiked its policy rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, in June and July. "Wages and shelter costs will remain the primary drivers of future inflation," said Sung Won Sohn, finance and economics professor at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles. Owners equivalent rent, a measure of the amount homeowners would pay to rent or would earn from renting their property, increased 0.7%. Economists had forecast the so-called core CPI increasing 0.3%. The dollar rallied against a basket of currencies. 8 mid-term elections, which are expected to flip the House of Representatives into Republican hands. Beyond the dilemma the August inflation numbers present to the U.S. With a resilient labor market supporting strong wage growth, inflation has probably not peaked, keeping the Fed on an aggressive monetary policy path for a while. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI dipping 0.1%. The consumer price index edged up 0.1% last month after being unchanged in July. Food prices surged 11.4% over the last year, the largest 12-month increase since May 1979.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Inflation isn't just about fuel costs anymore, as price increases ... (CNBC)

Rather than fuel, it was food, shelter and medical services that drove costs higher in August, slapping a costly tax on those least able to afford it.

Markets are betting the central bank raises benchmark rates by [at least 0.75 percentage point next week](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/08/tough-fed-rate-talk-pushes-wall-street-economists-to-expect-a-big-hike.html), which would take the fed funds rate to its highest level since early 2007. Indeed, new vehicle prices and medical care services both increased 0.8% for the month. [survey released earlier this week](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/12/falling-gas-prices-are-raising-hopes-that-inflation-is-slowing-new-york-fed-survey-shows.html) by the New York Fed showed consumers are growing less fearful about inflation, though they still expect the rate to be 5.7% a year from now. Veterinary costs rose 0.9% on the month and were up 10% over the past year. There also are signs that [supply chain pressures are easing](https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/gscpi#/interactive), which should be at least disinflationary. The breadth of the strong price increases, from new vehicles to medical care services to rent growth, everything was up strongly," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "I have not changed my forecast for inflation to get back to [the Federal Reserve's 2% target] by early 2024, but I'd say I hold that forecast with less conviction." Including food and energy, the index rose 0.1% monthly and a robust 8.3% on a 12-month basis. "The core inflation numbers were hot across the board. While the summertime decline in energy prices has helped temper headline inflation numbers, it hasn't been able to squelch fears that Once supply chains eased and gas prices abated, the thinking went, that would help lower food costs and in turn ease price pressures across the economy. Veterinary care was up 10% from a year ago.

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

American inflation rose more than expected in August (CNN)

US inflation ticked back up in August, despite plunging gas prices, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Tuesday.

A prolonged period of historic rate hikes could do serious damage to the US economy. Almost all other categories saw price increases, including shelter, which increased 0.7% in August and is up 6.2% year-on-year, the largest increase since 1991. The last time the headline CPI rate declined in consecutive months was the first part of 2020. The month-on-month gain of 0.6% was double what economists had expected. Economists had projected that inflation would fall from July to August by 0.1%, after holding steady at 0% growth from June to July. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.1% from July, according to the Consumer Price Index, which measures a basket of consumer goods and services.

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Image courtesy of "Aljazeera.com"

US inflation slows for 2nd month but remains stubbornly high (Aljazeera.com)

Consumer prices jumped 8.3 percent in August compared with a year earlier, new US data shows.

The average 30-year mortgage rate jumped to nearly 5.9 percent last week, according to mortgage buyer Freddie Mac, the highest figure in nearly 14 years. The cost of rental apartments and other services, such as healthcare, are likely to keep rising in the months ahead. Republicans have sought to make inflation a central issue in the midterm congressional elections. Many businesses are also reporting signs that supply backlogs and inflation are beginning to fade. But executives at Kroger, the nation’s largest grocery chain, said that falling prices for farm commodities like wheat and corn could slow cost increases for food. The central bank is expected to announce another big increase in its benchmark interest rate next week, which will lead to higher costs for many consumer and business loans. In the past year, they have soared 13.5 percent — the biggest 12-month increase since 1979. “Overall, prices have been essentially flat in our country these last two months: that is welcome news for American families, with more work still to do. But excluding the volatile food and energy categories, so-called “core prices” jumped 0.6 percent from July to August — up sharply from 0.3 percent the previous month and dashing hopes, for now, that core prices might be starting to moderate. In the 12 months ending in August, core prices jumped 6.3 percent, up from 5.9 percent in July. Core prices typically provide a clearer read on where costs are headed than overall inflation does. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.1 percent, after a flat reading in July.

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

US Inflation Tops Forecasts, Cementing Odds of Big Fed Hike (Bloomberg)

US inflation was firmer than expected in August, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on track for a third-straight 75 basis-point interest-rate hike.

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Image courtesy of "CNA"

US annual inflation eased in August - but likely not enough (CNA)

WASHINGTON: US annual inflation slowed in slightly in August, largely thanks to falling gasoline prices - but likely not enough to satisfy the Federal ...

Overall, prices have been essentially flat in our country these last two months," Biden said in a statement. Advertisement

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

Inflation Fails to Slow US Economy, Forcing Fed to Brake Harder (Bloomberg)

The US economy refuses to buckle under the worst inflation in a generation. That means the Federal Reserve will have to force the issue.

Inflation came in faster than expected in August even as gas prices fell (The Straits Times)

WASHINGTON - Fresh inflation data released on Tuesday showed that price gains did not moderate as much as anticipated in August, unwelcome news for the ...

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