Al Qaeda

2022 - 8 - 2

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

Al Qaeda needs a new leader after Zawahiri's killing. Its bench is ... (CNN)

Ayman al-Zawahiri's death at the hands of a US drone strike has raised questions about who will replace him as the leader of al Qaeda.

Al Qaeda has only ever had two leaders and the current status of its governing Shura (council), which had a critical role in the election of Zawahiri, is hard to discern. Its affiliates in Central Asia such as the Turkestan Islamic Party also retain a presence. Some former al Qaeda insiders say that senior Egyptian and Saudi figures within the organization often looked down on African affiliates. For much of his adult life he has lived and breathed al Qaeda. His ideology is prudent, and he has excellent awareness." Adel was a loyal servant to Osama bin Laden before acting as al Qaeda's interim leader in 2011.

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Image courtesy of "Aljazeera.com"

Why death of al-Qaeda's Ayman al-Zawahiri will have little impact (Aljazeera.com)

Once the news cycle moves on, it will be business as usual for the US, the Taliban and even al-Qaeda itself.

The current US president and those in his administration are undoubtedly aware of this. We are likely to witness the same between the US and the Taliban after al-Zawahiri’s killing. And he knew that he did not need to be one to ensure the group’s expansion and longevity. The set of ideas that guide the group existed long before al-Qaeda, and will undoubtedly continue to be supported by some in zones of failing governance or alienation after its elimination. During al-Zawahiri’s tenure, al-Qaeda adopted an expansion model which can best be described as “franchising”. Under his command, the group expanded its reach from Mali to Kashmir with the addition of numerous largely autonomous and financially self-sufficient branches or “franchises”. As these branches are able to continue operations without much intervention from the central command, the death of any leader is unlikely to cause the network to disintegrate. However, it is unlikely that it will lead to any significant change or mark a turning point in the regional let alone global status quo.

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Image courtesy of "NPR"

Opinion: What Ayman al-Zawahiri's death means for al-Qaida's future (NPR)

After hunting for him for 21 years, U.S. forces killed al-Qaida leader Ayman al-Zawahiri over the weekend with a drone strike targeting him at a safe house in ...

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Image courtesy of "BBC News"

What now for al-Qaeda? (BBC News)

The BBC's security correspondent looks at what can be expected from al-Qaeda now its leader has been killed.

It was here that he lived for five years under the Taliban's protection from 1996-2001. In 2000 it rammed a tiny speedboat packed with high explosives into the side of the USS Cole in Aden harbour, killing 17 sailors and crippling this billion-dollar warship. Al-Qaeda remains at heart a Middle Eastern terror group. Despite the clues missed by Washington, the attacks succeeded partly because the CIA was not sharing its secrets with the FBI and vice versa. In fact, what is al-Qaeda and is it even relevant any more in 2022? US and Western intelligence agencies are now far better informed, they collaborate more and their recruitment of informants from inside al-Qaeda and ISIS have meant fewer successful terror attacks.

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Image courtesy of "Stratfor Worldview"

Al Qaeda After the Death of Ayman al-Zawahiri | RANE (Stratfor Worldview)

Smoke rises from a house following a July 31, 2022, U.S. drone strike in the Sherpur area of Kabul. that killed al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri. (AFP via ...

The CIA conducted an unmanned aerial vehicle strike the morning of July 31 in downtown Kabul that killed al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri. While unlikely to significantly degrade al Qaeda's regional affiliates in the near term, the strike may produce a long-term shift in its strategy depending on al-Zawahiri's successor.... Smoke rises from a house following a July 31, 2022, U.S. drone strike in the Sherpur area of Kabul that killed al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri.

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Image courtesy of "The Intercept - First Look Media"

Al Qaeda Honcho Zawahiri Got Droned and No One Gave a Shit (The Intercept - First Look Media)

That Zawahiri's killing went so quietly suggests that the cultural and political behemoth that was the war on terror had long preceded him into the grave.

The great tragedy and crime of the war on terror was that the United States decided to take revenge for it on entire civilian populations of countries like Iraq and Afghanistan, who bore no guilt for the 9/11 attacks. Jihadist terrorism may yet make a comeback, but I doubt it will do so anytime soon in a manner that affects Americans the way that September 11 did. The killing of Zawahiri may provide a modicum of justice for the victims of the September 11 attacks. While it’s hard to find 9/11 perpetrators who paid for the attack in any way, millions of others have died, been wounded, or driven from their homes because of U.S. military actions following the attacks. The victory of the Afghan Taliban over the U.S. military and its allies in Afghanistan taught an important lesson to Islamists around the world. Only five of the hundreds of men held at the notorious Guantánamo Bay Detention Camp were put on trial for 9/11; they remain there, their cases stalled in pretrial hearings. This won’t be the last drone strike or raid that the U.S. carries out in the Middle East, but the killing of Zawahiri marks the close of a particular chapter in American history. The United States is now preoccupied with a deadly war in Ukraine, as well as a growing rivalry with China that is likely to put far more strain on its resources than Al Qaeda ever did. By noon, the Zawahiri news had been pushed off the top of the New York Times’s website by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan and a Style section story about an iconic New York City guitar teacher. International terrorism was always a departure for Islamist groups, whose focus even in carrying out foreign attacks was to effect changes back home. Unlike Osama bin Laden’s death more than a decade ago, which prompted an outpouring of street celebrations and chest-beating by U.S. politicians and national security elites, the reaction to Zawahiri’s demise has been noticeably muted. Whereas the Islamic State group carried out terrorist attacks against Western civilians that enraged foreign publics and justified crushing military responses, the Taliban laser-focused on the conflict on the ground at home against the Afghan central government, even cutting deals with the Americans to keep their troops out of the fray.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Al Qaeda leader's killing risks greater anti-American violence, State ... (Reuters)

The killing of al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri by the United States may prompt al Qaeda supporters to target U.S. facilities or citizens with the ...

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