US CPI

2022 - 5 - 12

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Live Updates: April CPI Report and Inflation News (The New York Times)

Inflation data shows a modest deceleration, but prices are still climbing at a brisk pace, suggesting that underlying inflation pressures remain strong.

This study suggests, however, that high-frequency spending categories like food tend to motivate consumer psychology more than changes in the cost of rent, for example, which most people encounter only once a year. Policymakers have been struggling to avoid a “wage-price spiral,” in which price and wage increases become self-reinforcing and escalate out of control. “What stands out in April 2022 is the above-average increases in food prices,” the office said in a statement. Consumer prices in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, rose at an annual rate of 7.8 percent in April, the Federal Statistics Office said Wednesday, citing preliminary figures that are adjusted to make them comparable with inflation data from other E.U. countries. Agricultural prices started to skyrocket in the second half of last year, meaning year-over-year price increases will start to look less steep since they are measured from a higher starting point. The interest rate resets every six months and is linked to the rate of inflation. But in the process, the Fed has disrupted financial markets and contributed to big price reductions for stocks and bonds. White House officials in recent weeks have repeatedly referred to “ Putin’s price hike,” a reference to the role that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has played in driving up oil and gas prices. On Tuesday, Mr. Biden said in a speech at the White House that inflation was his “top domestic priority” and that his administration was taking whatever steps it could to try to reduce costs. But 67 percent of respondents in the survey — including 42 percent of Republicans — said they approved of the law, the same level of support as when it passed last year. The pickup in housing costs is an especially big deal, because they make up about a third of the overall inflation index. The reality that annual inflation has possibly peaked will give the White House and Fed a positive talking point and a dose of comfort.

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Image courtesy of "The Business Times"

US consumer prices slow in April; inflation still high (The Business Times)

US consumer price growth slowed sharply in April as gasoline prices eased off record highs, suggesting that inflation has probably peaked, ...

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Image courtesy of "City Index"

US CPI recap Food prices surge by their most in over 40 years (City Index)

Inflation is becoming more widespread across a broad swathe of consumer spending categories, raising the risk that it could become entrenched.

No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. Put simply, inflation is becoming more widespread across a broad swathe of consumer spending categories, raising the risk that it could become entrenched. That said, traders in other markets are certainly taking notice of the elevated inflation reading. The headline US CPI reading for April came in at 8.3% y/y, higher than expected and down only incrementally from last month’s 8.5% reading.

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

April CPI report: US inflation slowed last month for the first time since ... (CNN)

The Consumer Price Index was up 8.3% in the 12 months ended in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday, slightly higher than economists had ...

"Inflation remains widespread, making it all the more difficult to curtail," wrote Wells Fargo economists Sarah House and Michael Pugliese in a note to clients. Food prices rose 0.9% last month and 9.4% year over year, the biggest jump since April 1981. That means it's uncertain how much the pace of inflation can slow down until these things are resolved. But there are still a lot of factors that will keep prices elevated over the summer. Businesses have been building up their inventories, which helps core inflation on the goods side, while prices in the services sector are soaring as Americans return to traveling and other leisure activities. Year-over-year, housing costs are up 5.1%.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

US inflation rate slows but remains close to 40-year high (The Guardian)

Consumer price index reveals costs rising by a monthly rate of 0.3% in April, down from 1.2% in March, the first fall since August 2021.

The rising cost of living has become a leading political issue as the US prepares for November’s midterm elections. The Biden administration has made attempts to bring down prices. The pace of rate rises, and fears that they may trigger a recession, have spooked investors and sent stock markets reeling. Kroszner said global issues including the war in Ukraine and China’s Covid woes had combined with rising rates to deliver a “one-two punch” to the US economy. A booming house market has made housing unaffordable for many Americans, especially people of color, and 49% of people recently told Pew Research that affordable housing is a large problem in their community. The so-called core-price index – which excludes the volatile categories of food and energy – increased 0.6% on the month, up from March’s 0.3% gain.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

New inflation data is out—here's what it says about the state of the ... (CNBC)

At last, consumers are starting to see some relief: The rate of inflation for consumer prices declined in April, according to highly-anticipated Labor ...

If inflation is slowing, aggressive rate hikes beyond 0.25% increments are less likely — but the Fed has already suggested that 0.50% hikes could happen in June and July. Barring unforeseen events, Mahedy says, a recession in 2022 is "very unlikely" despite widespread concerns. And I was left holding my breath for next month's [report], because there's not enough there to make me think [inflation is] going one way or the other," he says. These hikes increase the cost of borrowing, which can slow down economic growth. The CPI numbers suggest that despite recent gas price surges, there are limits to how quickly those prices can grow. "For this report, I was holding my breath.

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